Glentoran vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LOU
1 - 3
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CLI
0 - 1
GLE
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARD
0 - 3
GLE
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIS
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
INS
3 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 0
INS
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |