NIFL Premiership Normal Season Round 15

Glentoran vs Crusaders analysis

Glentoran Crusaders
68 ELO 70
3.5% Tilt 17.5%
1516º General ELO ranking 1589º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
43.7%
Glentoran
25.5%
Draw
30.8%
Crusaders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
Glentoran
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.8%
Win probability
Crusaders
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glentoran
-7%
-9%
Crusaders

ELO progression

Glentoran
Crusaders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glentoran
Glentoran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2011
DON
Donegal Celtic
0 - 4
Glentoran
GLE
20%
23%
57%
68 54 14 0
22 Oct. 2011
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
0 - 5
Glentoran
GLE
25%
25%
50%
67 57 10 +1
12 Oct. 2011
GLE
Glentoran
2 - 1
Portadown
POR
40%
24%
36%
66 69 3 +1
08 Oct. 2011
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 5
Glentoran
GLE
33%
25%
42%
66 58 8 0
01 Oct. 2011
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 3
Glentoran
GLE
27%
25%
49%
65 54 11 +1

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2011
CRU
Crusaders
5 - 1
Carrick Rangers
CAR
80%
13%
7%
69 53 16 0
22 Oct. 2011
CLI
Cliftonville
2 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
38%
25%
37%
70 65 5 -1
15 Oct. 2011
CRU
Crusaders
3 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
76%
16%
9%
70 57 13 0
12 Oct. 2011
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
2 - 4
Crusaders
CRU
27%
23%
51%
69 57 12 +1
08 Oct. 2011
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
78%
14%
8%
69 54 15 0