Glenavon vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
22
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BAL
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
5 - 1
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |