Glenavon vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
5 - 1
POR
90%
8%
2%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 4
GLE
36%
24%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 2
CLI
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
GLE
16%
21%
63%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 1
COL
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |