Glenavon vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
GLE
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
GLE
34%
24%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GLE
6 - 1
SYL
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 4
LIN
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIN
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 1
ARF
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 17 | 53 | 0 |