NIFL Premiership Temporada Regular Jor. 31

Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis

Glenavon Dungannon Swifts
71 ELO 58
19.8% Tilt 15%
2299º General ELO ranking 2487º
10º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
73.2%
Glenavon
16.9%
Draw
9.8%
Dungannon Swifts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
Glenavon
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
Dungannon Swifts
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
-35%
+22%
Dungannon Swifts

ELO progression

Glenavon
Dungannon Swifts
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
POR
Portadown
0 - 5
Glenavon
GLE
13%
17%
71%
70 49 21 0
28 Feb. 2017
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
83%
12%
5%
70 48 22 0
25 Feb. 2017
CAR
Carrick Rangers
0 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
14%
21%
65%
71 49 22 -1
17 Feb. 2017
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
79%
14%
7%
71 52 19 0
11 Feb. 2017
GLE
Glentoran
0 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
20%
24%
56%
71 58 13 0

Matches

Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
2 - 1
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
39%
23%
38%
57 60 3 0
25 Feb. 2017
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
3 - 3
Ards FC
ARD
63%
20%
17%
57 51 6 0
17 Feb. 2017
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
1 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
26%
24%
49%
57 71 14 0
11 Feb. 2017
COL
Coleraine
2 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
55%
24%
20%
58 62 4 -1
04 Feb. 2017
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
4 - 1
Dollingstown
DOL
79%
14%
7%
58 39 19 0
X