Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
14%
18%
68%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
POR
78%
14%
7%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
28%
26%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLE
17%
20%
64%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
41%
25%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
6 - 0
DER
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
CRU
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |