Glenavon vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 3
CRU
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
GLE
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 3
GLE
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 1
LOU
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 2
CLI
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
WAR
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 4
DUN
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 0
BAL
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |