Northern Ireland Second Division Round 12

Glenavon vs Armagh City analysis

Glenavon Armagh City
57 ELO 60
-1% Tilt 0.2%
1899º General ELO ranking 3817º
12º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
47.3%
Glenavon
25.5%
Draw
27.2%
Armagh City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
Glenavon
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.2%
Win probability
Armagh City
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
-15%
-28%
Armagh City

ELO progression

Glenavon
Armagh City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2005
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 1
Donegal Celtic
DON
54%
24%
22%
58 57 1 0
15 Jan. 2005
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 2
Portadown
POR
22%
22%
56%
58 73 15 0
03 Jan. 2005
BAN
Bangor
1 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
34%
28%
38%
58 51 7 0
18 Dec. 2004
COA
Coagh United
0 - 3
Glenavon
GLE
52%
23%
25%
57 57 0 +1
11 Dec. 2004
BMF
Ballymoney United
0 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
34%
26%
40%
57 50 7 0

Matches

Armagh City
Armagh City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2005
CAR
Carrick Rangers
0 - 0
Armagh City
ARC
33%
27%
40%
59 47 12 0
28 Jan. 2005
BAN
Bangor
1 - 1
Armagh City
ARC
33%
28%
39%
59 51 8 0
21 Jan. 2005
ARC
Armagh City
2 - 0
Moyola Park
MOY
66%
20%
14%
58 48 10 +1
15 Jan. 2005
ARC
Armagh City
1 - 2
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
43%
25%
32%
59 62 3 -1
31 Dec. 2004
ARC
Armagh City
3 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
63%
21%
16%
58 50 8 +1