SPL Normal Season Round 5

Rangers vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

Rangers Heart of Midlothian
82 ELO 82
7% Tilt 13.6%
466º General ELO ranking 472º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.2%
Rangers
25%
Draw
27.8%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
Rangers
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.8%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rangers
+9%
+13%
Heart of Midlothian

Points and table prediction

Rangers
Their league position
Heart of Midlothian
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
10
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
10
56
39%
Heart of Midlothian
10
50
16%
Rangers
4
47
11.5%
Falkirk
4
47
10.5%
Motherwell
4
46
7%
Hibernian FC
5
45
9.5%
Dundee United
4
45
11%
St. Mirren
10º
3
41
6.5%
Kilmarnock
4
41
9.5%
Dundee
11º
2
40
10º
8%
Aberdeen
12º
0
40
11º
12.5%
Livingston
4
39
12º
12.5%
Expected probabilities
Rangers
Heart of Midlothian
Play-offs for the title
59.5% 72.5%
Relegation play-offs
40.5% 27.5%

ELO progression

Rangers
Heart of Midlothian
Livingston
Hibernian FC
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rangers
Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2025
GLA
Rangers
0 - 0
Celtic
CEL
41%
24%
35%
82 82 0 0
27 Aug. 2025
BRU
Club Brugge
6 - 0
Rangers
GLA
60%
21%
19%
82 88 6 0
24 Aug. 2025
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Rangers
GLA
40%
26%
35%
82 82 0 0
19 Aug. 2025
GLA
Rangers
1 - 3
Club Brugge
BRU
31%
24%
45%
82 88 6 0
16 Aug. 2025
GLA
Rangers
4 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
71%
17%
12%
81 67 14 +1

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2025
LIV
Livingston
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
39%
28%
34%
82 82 0 0
23 Aug. 2025
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
3 - 3
Motherwell
MHE
48%
25%
27%
82 82 0 0
16 Aug. 2025
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
46%
25%
30%
82 82 0 0
10 Aug. 2025
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
44%
26%
30%
82 82 0 0
04 Aug. 2025
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
48%
25%
27%
81 81 0 +1