Glapwell vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glapwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LOU
2 - 1
GLA
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
GLA
3 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 5
GLA
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GLA
3 - 1
QUO
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
GOO
1 - 1
GLA
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ARL
1 - 4
LEA
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LEA
2 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LEA
1 - 0
STO
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SOH
2 - 3
LEA
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LEA
7 - 2
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |