Norwegian Fourth Division Round 9

Gjelleråsen vs Grorud II analysis

Gjelleråsen Grorud II
40 ELO 27
11.4% Tilt 5%
344º Country ELO ranking 388º
ELO win probability
76.7%
Gjelleråsen
13.8%
Draw
9.6%
Grorud II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
Gjelleråsen
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.6%
Win probability
Grorud II
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Gjelleråsen
Their league position
Grorud II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
14º
15
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lysekloster
70
70
100%
Frigg
56
56
100%
Fana
51
51
100%
Os Turn
48
48
100%
Sandviken
44
44
100%
Gjelleråsen
42
42
100%
Skjetten
38
38
100%
Stabæk II
34
34
100%
Lillestrom II
29
29
100%
Lokomotiv Oslo
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Skedsmo
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Gneist
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Ullern II
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Grorud II
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gjelleråsen
Grorud II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Gjelleråsen
Grorud II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gjelleråsen
Gjelleråsen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jun. 2023
LYS
Lysekloster
2 - 1
Gjelleråsen
GIF
65%
19%
16%
41 47 6 0
01 Jun. 2023
GIF
Gjelleråsen
1 - 2
KFUM Oslo
KFU
10%
16%
74%
41 62 21 0
27 May. 2023
GIF
Gjelleråsen
4 - 4
Frigg
FRI
43%
23%
34%
41 41 0 0
24 May. 2023
GIF
Gjelleråsen
2 - 1
Lorenskog IF
LOR
49%
22%
28%
40 40 0 +1
13 May. 2023
SAN
Sandviken
2 - 4
Gjelleråsen
GIF
36%
22%
43%
39 35 4 +1

Matches

Grorud II
Grorud II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2023
GRO
Grorud II
1 - 0
Ullern II
ULL
66%
17%
17%
28 23 5 0
30 May. 2023
STA
Stabæk II
3 - 1
Grorud II
GRO
83%
11%
6%
28 42 14 0
14 May. 2023
GRO
Grorud II
0 - 3
Lysekloster
LYS
11%
17%
71%
30 47 17 -2
08 May. 2023
GRO
Grorud II
3 - 7
Frigg
FRI
29%
21%
51%
33 39 6 -3
30 Apr. 2023
SKJ
Skjetten
3 - 3
Grorud II
GRO
24%
21%
55%
33 23 10 0