Girona vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 1
GIR
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
4 - 0
MIR
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
REC
1 - 3
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
HUE
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 0
GIR
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 1
MUR
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
XER
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |