Giorgione vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giorgione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 2
GIO
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GIO
2 - 3
TAM
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
GIO
31%
25%
43%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ACS
1 - 2
GIO
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GIO
0 - 1
DEL
29%
24%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
CER
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
ACS
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 2
CER
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |