Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 3
GDA
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GDA
2 - 3
SOU
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
POM
3 - 1
GDA
20%
23%
56%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GDA
1 - 2
PAM
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
GDA
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 1
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEN
17%
22%
60%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +4 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEN
58%
21%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
PEN
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |