Campeonato de Portugal Group F Round 18

Ginásio de Alcobaça vs G.D.R. Gafetense analysis

Ginásio de Alcobaça G.D.R. Gafetense
21 ELO 35
3.3% Tilt -2.9%
26176º General ELO ranking 22411º
556º Country ELO ranking 414º
ELO win probability
22.8%
Ginásio de Alcobaça
20.5%
Draw
56.7%
G.D.R. Gafetense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
Ginásio de Alcobaça
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56.7%
Win probability
G.D.R. Gafetense
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ginásio de Alcobaça
G.D.R. Gafetense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ginásio de Alcobaça
Ginásio de Alcobaça
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2017
ANG
Angrense
1 - 2
Ginásio de Alcobaça
GDA
79%
13%
8%
21 33 12 0
15 Jan. 2017
GDA
Ginásio de Alcobaça
0 - 2
Vilafranquense
VIL
21%
21%
58%
22 37 15 -1
08 Jan. 2017
TOR
Torreense
2 - 0
Ginásio de Alcobaça
GDA
80%
15%
5%
22 52 30 0
18 Dec. 2016
GDA
Ginásio de Alcobaça
1 - 4
Mafra
MAF
11%
24%
65%
22 57 35 0
11 Dec. 2016
LUS
Lusitânia
0 - 0
Ginásio de Alcobaça
GDA
81%
13%
7%
22 38 16 0

Matches

G.D.R. Gafetense
G.D.R. Gafetense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2017
GDR
G.D.R. Gafetense
0 - 1
Alcanenense
ALC
20%
24%
56%
35 49 14 0
15 Jan. 2017
CAL
Caldas
3 - 1
G.D.R. Gafetense
GDR
63%
22%
15%
36 47 11 -1
08 Jan. 2017
PRA
Praiense
1 - 0
G.D.R. Gafetense
GDR
80%
14%
7%
36 54 18 0
18 Dec. 2016
GDR
G.D.R. Gafetense
2 - 1
Angrense
ANG
53%
21%
26%
36 34 2 0
11 Dec. 2016
VIL
Vilafranquense
1 - 0
G.D.R. Gafetense
GDR
47%
22%
31%
36 36 0 0