Gimnasia Concepción vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 1
GIM
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
DFR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DHA
2 - 0
GIM
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
SAR
26%
27%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SPB
3 - 1
GIM
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 0
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 1
SMA
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
4 - 0
JAN
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CDN
3 - 1
SMA
23%
28%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
4 - 2
SLP
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |