Gimnasia Concepción vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
8º
9º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
LIN
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 2
SLP
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 1
DPR
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 1
GIM
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
LIN
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
SLP
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 2
LIN
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |