Gillingham vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 1
GIL
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
GIL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 0
GIL
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 1
GIL
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 4
GIL
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
DON
1 - 0
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 3
WIG
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
4 - 4
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 3
CRE
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 4
GIL
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |