Gillingham vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 2
GIL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GIL
1 - 1
STF
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SHE
2 - 2
GIL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 0
GIL
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
GIL
0 - 1
OXF
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
POS
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 2
POR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
BCF
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HUR
4 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
OLD
0 - 0
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |