Gil Vicente vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEX
2 - 1
GFC
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 0
ORI
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ODO
3 - 5
GFC
7%
14%
80%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
GFC
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
GFC
2 - 2
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACV
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VSC
2 - 3
PEN
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 3
PEN
7%
16%
77%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |