Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
8º
6º
30
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GIL
0 - 2
TOR
75%
14%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BES
3 - 5
GIL
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
GIL
3 - 3
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
GIL
2 - 4
FAM
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
VIZ
4 - 3
GIL
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BES
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
VIZ
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |