UEFA Nations League Liga D round 1

Gibraltar vs North Macedonia analysis

Gibraltar North Macedonia
52 ELO 76
11.6% Tilt 11.3%
6717º General ELO ranking 859º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
9.3%
Gibraltar
15.2%
Draw
75.5%
North Macedonia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
Gibraltar
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.5%
Win probability
Macedonia
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gibraltar
-15%
+1%
North Macedonia

ELO progression

Gibraltar
Macedonia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gibraltar
Gibraltar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2018
GIB
Gibraltar
1 - 0
Latvia
LVA
20%
20%
61%
52 63 11 0
10 Oct. 2017
GRC
Greece
4 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
86%
10%
3%
52 86 34 0
07 Oct. 2017
GIB
Gibraltar
0 - 6
Estonia
EST
11%
15%
74%
53 73 20 -1
03 Sep. 2017
GIB
Gibraltar
0 - 4
Bosnia and Herzegovina
BIH
11%
17%
72%
53 84 31 0
31 Aug. 2017
BEL
Belgium
9 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
95%
4%
1%
54 90 36 -1

Matches

Macedonia
Macedonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2018
AZE
Azerbaijan
1 - 1
Macedonia
MKD
22%
27%
51%
76 63 13 0
23 Mar. 2018
FIN
Finland
0 - 0
Macedonia
MKD
57%
24%
19%
76 80 4 0
11 Nov. 2017
MKD
Macedonia
2 - 0
Norway
NOR
30%
26%
45%
75 84 9 +1
09 Oct. 2017
MKD
Macedonia
4 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
86%
12%
3%
75 28 47 0
06 Oct. 2017
ITA
Italy
1 - 1
Macedonia
MKD
82%
14%
4%
75 92 17 0