Gibraltar vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
76.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GIB
0 - 1
IRL
11%
20%
70%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
MKD
4 - 0
GIB
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
GIB
2 - 6
ARM
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
GIB
2 - 1
LIE
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 1
GIB
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NIR
2 - 0
EST
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
ISL
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 2
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
0 - 1
EST
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
HUN
2 - 0
EST
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |