Ghedi vs San Lazzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghedi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GHE
1 - 1
DES
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GON
0 - 1
GHE
38%
24%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GHE
0 - 1
MAR
35%
23%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 1
GHE
55%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Lazzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAS
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
LAZ
19%
21%
61%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CAS
87%
10%
4%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GON
77%
14%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |