Third Division Malta Group A Round 4

Gharghur vs Marsaskala analysis

Gharghur Marsaskala
28 ELO 35
11.4% Tilt 6.6%
7357º General ELO ranking 6883º
47º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
39.4%
Gharghur
21.9%
Draw
38.7%
Marsaskala

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
Gharghur
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.7%
Win probability
Marsaskala
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gharghur
-48%
-59%
Marsaskala

ELO progression

Gharghur
Marsaskala
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gharghur
Gharghur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2020
GHA
Gharghur
2 - 2
Zurrieq FC
ZUR
28%
23%
49%
27 40 13 0
28 Nov. 2020
MEL
Mellieha
2 - 0
Gharghur
GHA
68%
18%
14%
28 40 12 -1
22 Nov. 2020
MGA
Mgarr United FC
4 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
84%
11%
5%
28 56 28 0
08 Nov. 2020
GHA
Ghaxaq
2 - 2
Gharghur
GHA
19%
19%
63%
28 20 8 0
25 Oct. 2020
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 1
Ta' Xbiex
XBI
60%
19%
21%
27 26 1 +1

Matches

Marsaskala
Marsaskala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2020
MAR
Marsaskala
1 - 1
Ta' Xbiex
XBI
82%
11%
7%
35 23 12 0
08 Nov. 2020
MAR
Marsaskala
0 - 4
Mgarr United FC
MGA
14%
21%
65%
35 55 20 0
24 Oct. 2020
MEL
Mellieha
1 - 2
Marsaskala
MAR
57%
21%
22%
34 37 3 +1
18 Oct. 2020
GHA
Ghaxaq
0 - 2
Marsaskala
MAR
17%
20%
63%
33 21 12 +1
07 Sep. 2019
SIG
Siggiewi
0 - 0
Marsaskala
MAR
53%
24%
23%
33 38 5 0