SD Gernika vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
RSO
3 - 0
GER
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
GER
2 - 1
TUD
47%
28%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
LEM
1 - 0
GER
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
GER
0 - 0
CDM
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
SDE
1 - 1
GER
63%
23%
14%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
TOL
1 - 1
BFC
57%
25%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 2
TOL
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TOL
2 - 2
ARE
46%
28%
25%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SAB
1 - 0
TOL
72%
19%
9%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
TOL
1 - 1
LON
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |