SD Gernika vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
23%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
ENS
2 - 0
GER
76%
18%
6%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
GER
0 - 3
BAS
57%
27%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
CDG
4 - 0
GER
61%
25%
14%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
GER
0 - 0
BAR
29%
30%
42%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
SSC
2 - 0
GER
76%
18%
7%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 1
ATH
44%
29%
27%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ARO
1 - 1
SPB
40%
32%
29%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 0
CAU
61%
26%
13%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
RCF
0 - 0
SPB
65%
23%
13%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 1
GIM
61%
25%
14%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |