SD Gernika vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
COM
4 - 0
GER
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
GER
2 - 1
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 1
GER
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
GER
1 - 1
UPL
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 1
GER
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
NAV
0 - 1
ATH
23%
32%
45%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
ARO
1 - 0
NAV
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAU
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
RCF
2 - 0
NAV
83%
14%
4%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
NAV
2 - 0
GIM
18%
24%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +5 |