Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-1
SD Gernika vs CD Laredo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CAU
1 - 0
GER
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
GER
1 - 0
RCF
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
GIM
1 - 0
GER
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
TUR
2 - 2
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
GER
4 - 0
SIE
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Laredo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
LAR
0 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CDG
4 - 3
LAR
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
LAR
0 - 0
BAR
23%
34%
44%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
ATH
4 - 0
LAR
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
LAR
1 - 3
PON
27%
36%
38%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |