SD Gernika vs Deusto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
MON
2 - 3
GER
62%
23%
16%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
GER
2 - 0
ILI
50%
27%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
TOL
0 - 0
GER
60%
25%
15%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
GER
1 - 0
CDT
57%
25%
18%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
GER
1 - 2
RUN
36%
28%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
DEU
0 - 3
CDU
43%
27%
30%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SDA
1 - 1
DEU
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
DEU
1 - 0
BAS
40%
28%
33%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
BKE
1 - 0
DEU
43%
29%
29%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
DEU
0 - 2
ARE
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |