SD Gernika vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SDA
2 - 0
GER
69%
21%
11%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
GER
0 - 0
BAS
42%
29%
29%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
BKE
1 - 1
GER
52%
28%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
GER
1 - 1
DEU
52%
27%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
MON
2 - 3
GER
62%
23%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
ARE
1 - 2
CDU
43%
28%
29%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
CDU
2 - 1
SDA
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
BAS
0 - 2
CDU
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
CDU
3 - 0
BKE
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
DEU
0 - 3
CDU
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |