SD Gernika vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ATH
0 - 1
GER
61%
22%
16%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
PON
46%
29%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
LEM
0 - 0
GER
31%
32%
38%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
LAR
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
SNT
0 - 2
GER
42%
29%
30%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
BAR
2 - 1
RCF
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
BAR
2 - 2
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
TUR
0 - 2
BAR
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
BAR
2 - 0
SIE
85%
13%
2%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
LOG
1 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |