SD Gernika vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
14%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 2
GER
30%
32%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
SDI
59%
24%
18%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 2
GER
44%
29%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
ELG
60%
25%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
GER
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SDI
0 - 0
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 2
ELG
50%
26%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
BRU
1 - 0
AUR
20%
24%
56%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 1
LON
47%
27%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BEA
2 - 1
AUR
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |