SD Gernika vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SDE
0 - 1
GER
15%
24%
61%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 1
GER
24%
27%
50%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
SFC
65%
23%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LON
1 - 1
GER
23%
28%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
POR
31%
25%
43%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AMU
2 - 1
BAS
15%
21%
63%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
AMU
1 - 3
SNT
23%
27%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
OIA
0 - 0
AMU
59%
23%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AMU
2 - 3
ZAL
13%
21%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CLU
3 - 1
AMU
73%
17%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |