SD Gernika vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
ZAR
2 - 1
GER
55%
26%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
CDT
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
UBC
1 - 0
GER
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
AMU
34%
30%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
EIB
5 - 1
SDA
43%
28%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SDA
1 - 2
UPV
53%
26%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
SDA
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
SDA
1 - 1
ARE
56%
26%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LEM
3 - 3
SDA
56%
24%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |