Germania Ratingen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
7º
4º
49
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 73 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 66 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 62 |
3º
|
63% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 57 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 56 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 54 |
7º
|
43.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 46 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 46 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 41 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 40 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 40 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 35 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 32 |
18º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Ratingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 2
GRA
9%
14%
77%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
GRA
17%
21%
63%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
SWE
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 2
MFC
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 2
DJK
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 0
VFB
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 0
SON
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NET
3 - 1
VFB
35%
23%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |