George Mason vs Davidson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
George Mason
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VCU
0 - 0
GMP
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GMP
0 - 0
GWS
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
DSC
2 - 2
GMP
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Davidson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GWS
1 - 1
DSC
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
DSC
0 - 1
VCU
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
DSC
2 - 2
GMP
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |