Genoa vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
5 - 1
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 2
GEN
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
4 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
UNI
2 - 1
GEN
12%
17%
70%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 2
GEN
56%
22%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
LEO
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEO
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
LEO
1 - 1
INT
36%
25%
40%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
LEO
2 - 2
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |