Genoa vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACL
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPE
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 2
GEN
14%
24%
63%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 0
GIU
83%
13%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SSS
3 - 3
PRO
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SSS
2 - 2
PIZ
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SSS
0 - 4
CTT
44%
29%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SAL
5 - 0
SSS
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 0
ACL
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |