Genoa vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
LAZ
2 - 4
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1959 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 2
ACM
31%
23%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
FIO
7 - 1
GEN
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
GEN
2 - 2
ROM
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SPA
0 - 0
VIC
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPA
3 - 0
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 0
SPA
70%
17%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 0
FIO
29%
25%
45%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACM
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |