Genoa vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1956 |
LAZ
2 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
INT
3 - 0
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 2
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1956 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
SPA
0 - 1
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
TOR
0 - 0
SPA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
NAP
2 - 2
SPA
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
SPA
5 - 0
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |