Genoa vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
GEN
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 4
PAL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
FIO
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
INT
2 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
GEN
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
3 - 1
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AST
0 - 0
ROM
12%
18%
70%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ROM
39%
24%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |