Genoa vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 1
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAZ
3 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
UDI
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
GEN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
ACM
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 0
NOV
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
PRG
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 1
TRA
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PIS
0 - 1
PRG
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 4
PRG
34%
29%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |