Serie A Round 7

Genoa vs Milan analysis

Genoa Milan
77 ELO 86
1.5% Tilt -1.2%
63º General ELO ranking 10º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.8%
Genoa
27%
Draw
43.2%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
Genoa
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.2%
Win probability
Milan
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Genoa
+3%
-4%
Milan

ELO progression

Genoa
Milan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2019
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 0
Genoa
GEN
70%
18%
12%
78 85 7 0
25 Sep. 2019
GEN
Genoa
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
48%
25%
27%
78 79 1 0
20 Sep. 2019
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 1
Genoa
GEN
43%
26%
31%
79 76 3 -1
15 Sep. 2019
GEN
Genoa
1 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
22%
23%
55%
79 87 8 0
06 Sep. 2019
ACD
Virtus Entella
3 - 2
Genoa
GEN
23%
24%
54%
79 65 14 0

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2019
ACM
Milan
1 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
53%
25%
22%
86 84 2 0
26 Sep. 2019
TOR
Torino
2 - 1
Milan
ACM
59%
21%
19%
87 86 1 -1
21 Sep. 2019
ACM
Milan
0 - 2
Inter
INT
47%
26%
27%
87 86 1 0
15 Sep. 2019
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
23%
26%
51%
87 72 15 0
31 Aug. 2019
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Brescia
BRE
69%
20%
12%
86 73 13 +1