Genoa vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
TRI
1 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
GEN
3 - 2
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 0
GEN
49%
23%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
GEN
33%
22%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 1
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
NAP
3 - 1
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 4
ROM
34%
23%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 1
ASL
57%
21%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
39%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |