Genoa vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
JUV
0 - 1
GEN
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
GEN
4 - 1
ASL
81%
11%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
INT
1 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
INT
1 - 2
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
0 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 3
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
INT
4 - 2
MOD
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |