Genoa vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 1
GEN
13%
23%
64%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 0
PRO
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SAL
0 - 0
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAV
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GIU
1 - 1
FER
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 0
GIU
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GIU
2 - 1
PRO
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 0
GIU
55%
27%
18%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |