Genoa vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 0
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GEN
0 - 1
LAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 2
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
INT
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ROM
0 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 2
UDI
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 2
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |