Genoa vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSB
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
UDI
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
EMP
1 - 1
GEN
43%
32%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
GEN
1 - 0
PIA
57%
27%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
REG
1 - 0
PAD
57%
27%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 1
BAR
42%
30%
27%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
51%
31%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
PAD
0 - 0
PIA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
COS
2 - 0
PAD
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |